Wells Fargo Super Bowl Food Report

Super Bowl 2026: Food Affordability for the Win

Wells Fargo Agri-Food Institute Recommends Fans Stock Up on Wings to Score a $140 Game-Day 10-person feast

Presented by Dr. Michael Swanson, Chief Agricultural Economist; Robin Wenzel, Head of Wells Fargo Agri-Food Institute; and Courtney Schmidt, Agri-Food Institute Sector Manager

Affordability is front and center for Super Bowl 2026, making it a win for hosts and fans alike. Wells Fargo’s Agri-Food Institute found hosting the Big Game this year will cost about $140* for ten hungry and thirsty fans, up slightly from last year’s $138, a 1.6% increase, but relative to the latest CPI for Food at Home (2.4%) still a good value., While prices have crept up, the good news is that average hourly wages have risen 3.8% to $31.99, giving party throwers more room to celebrate without breaking the bank.

Wing It for the Win: Chicken Rules the Protein Playbook

For fans looking for the ultimate game-day protein, chicken wings are the all-star. Retail prices for fresh wings are down 2.8% year-over-year, with a four-week moving average from Circana of $3.47 per pound. That’s a winning price that makes wings a smart play for the Big Game menu. This dip in cost comes thanks to U.S. broiler producers boosting domestic production by 2.2% in 2025, aided by lower feed costs. Bottom line: wings are a bargain this year, giving hosts room to serve an even bigger spread.

However, shrimp, a party tray favorite, leads price increases with an 8.1% jump to $9.10 per pound at retail according to Circana. Surprisingly, that’s still cheaper than beef, which averages $10.08 per pound according to USDA amid ongoing supply challenges. Why the shrimp spike? Global surplus has faded, and imports from multiple countries are returning to more normal levels and pricing. It’s a coach’s call, but shrimp remains a star player, even at a higher price.

Game Day Isn’t Complete Without the Veggie Defense

There is a lot more to offer than just the shrimp and chicken wings, don’t forget guests will want veggies. This year, the “defensive line” of fresh vegetables is seeing noticeable price hikes including cherry tomatoes up 2%, celery up 2.6% and broccoli and cauliflower up 4%.

Fresh produce prices are notoriously volatile. Last year’s bumper crop and extra acreage drove prices down, but those savings have disappeared. Tighter supply and stronger demand have pushed costs back toward long-term averages. Even with these increases, veggies remain an essential part of the lineup for a balanced spread.

Dip Costs Are on the Up, But Fans Still Take the Plunge

Don’t forget the dips for those crunchy veggies. Salsa is up 1.7% and onion-flavored dips up 1.5%. These increases aren’t about ingredients, they reflect rising labor costs. Food manufacturing wages are up about 4% year-over-year, and according to the USDA Food Dollar Series, wages make up the largest share of food costs.  While farming is highly automated, manufacturing, wholesaling, and retailing still rely on plenty of workers to get those dips to the party table. Bottom line: dips cost a little more, but they’re still essential for game-day snacking.

Snack Attack Champions: Chips, Avocadoes and Frozen Pizza Take the Trophy

Some game-day favorites are helping hold the line on costs this year. Potato chips stayed flat year-over-year, and frozen pizza prices dipped 0.6%, thanks to improved ingredient efficiencies. That’s a win for this year’s menu playbook.

Even better, tortilla chips are down 0.7%, thanks to the largest U.S. corn crop in history, and avocados dropped 2.4%, courtesy of strong supply from Mexico. Garnish the game day spread with red bell peppers and prepared carrots, both down 3.1%, and celebrants have the makings of an affordable, crowd-pleasing lineup. Add nacho cheese dip (holding steady) and feasters are ready for a chips-and-guac touchdown.

Big Winners for Affordable Super Bowl Food Party Options

Most affordable picks for 2026:

Tortilla chips (down 0.7%)

Avocados (down 2.4%)

Big Winners for Affordable Super Bowl Food Party Options

Most affordable picks for 2026:

Prepared carrots (down 3.1%)

Red bell peppers (down 3.1%)

Price Blitz: Drinks Are Rushing Downfield

Lastly, don’t forget to stock the cooler. Beer prices are up 1.3% and wine is up 0.5% year-over-year. Both increases come in below the overall food-at-home rise of 1.9%, making these game-day essentials a solid pick for the party roster. Cheers to keeping the celebration affordable.

Call the Winning Play: Smart Shopping Scores a Big Game Feast Without Breaking the Bank

When hosting a Super Bowl party this year, fans who shop smart and plan accordingly can expect to serve up a feast without overspending. Big winners this year include chicken wings, chips, guacamole, and selective veggie trays, offering affordable options that keep the party going.

And while there are some surprising price shifts, they give the “entertainment coach” plenty of options for calling plays that suit both the checkbook and the fans’ favorites. Bottom line: Super Bowl 2026 is still a win for hosts and guests alike.

Dr. Michael Swanson, Chief Agricultural Economist

Michael Swanson, Ph.D. is the Chief Agricultural Economist within Wells Fargo's Agri-Food Institute. He is responsible for analyzing the impact of energy on agriculture and strategic analysis for key agricultural commodities and livestock sectors. His focus includes the systems analysis of consumer food demand and its linkage to agribusiness. Additionally, he helps develop credit and risk strategies for Wells Fargo’s customers, and performs macroeconomic and international analysis on agricultural production and agribusiness.

Michael joined Wells Fargo in 2000 as a senior economist. Prior, he worked for Land O’ Lakes and supervised a portion of the supply chain for dairy products, including scheduling the production, warehousing, and distribution of more than 400 million pounds of cheese annually, and also supervised sales forecasting. Before Land O’Lakes, Michael worked for Cargill’s Colombian subsidiary, Cargill Cafetera de Manizales S.A., with responsibility for grain imports and value-added sales to feed producers and flour millers. Michael started his career as a transportation analyst with Burlington Northern Railway.

Michael received undergraduate degrees in economics and business administration from the University of St. Thomas, and both his master’s and doctorate degrees in agricultural and applied economics from the University of Minnesota.

Robin Wenzel, Head of Wells Fargo Agri-Food Institute

Robin Wenzel is a senior vice president and the Head of Wells Fargo’s Agri-Food Institute, a team of national industry advisors providing economic insights, analytics, research, and reporting across the agribusiness, food, and beverage spectrum. With more than 30 years of commercial and corporate banking experience, Robin leads with a strategic vision and an ability to expand and execute on the team’s deliverables to better support Food, Beverage, and Ag customers and prospects.

Robin received her degree in Business from the University of San Francisco with an interest in Finance and International studies. 

Robin has long been recognized for her work as a leading voice in the wine industry in Napa, CA. She is also a recipient of the 2017 North Bay Business Journal Women in Business Award.

Courtney Buerger Schmidt, Sector Manager

Courtney Buerger Schmidt is a Sector Manager within Wells Fargo’s Agri-Food Institute focused on the protein, cotton, and hay sectors. Courtney originally joined Wells Fargo in 2014 as a relationship manager within The Private Bank Wealth Management group where she spent two years prior to assuming her current role. Before Wells Fargo, Courtney spent six years as a commodity broker and research analyst with Frontier Risk Management developing hedge and risk management strategies for Agribusiness clients, and also served as assistant director of the research division that focused on livestock, grain, and oilseed.

Courtney holds a Bachelor of Science degree in Agricultural Economics with an emphasis in finance and real estate from Texas A&M University. Courtney was recently selected for Texas Agriculture Lifetime Leadership (TALL) Cohort XVIII 2022-2024. She is also a member of the Texas A&M College of Agriculture Development Council.

Last year’s menu’s cost has an adjustment due to a change in the data source for shrimp pricing from Nielsen to Circana.

Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), Consumer Price Index (CPI), January 2026 release

Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) Average Hourly Earnings of Production and Nonsupervisory Employees (AHETPI), January 2026 release, with a Naïve Forecast method for the last two months.

Circana, week ending 12/31/2025, four-week moving average, for the fresh raw chicken wings for blended discounted and non-discounted prices averaged by weight.

USDA Production, Supply, and Distribution (PSD) data, December 2025 release.

Circana, week ending 12/31/2025, four week moving average, fresh shrimp prices per pound weighted average of discounted and non-discounted.

USDA – Economic Research Service (ERS) Retail meat price, January 2026 release.

Data reported by Nielsen (“NIQ”) Discover xAOC and Convenience for the latest 52 weeks ending 12/27/2025, for the United States.

BLS, Nondurable manufacturing wages, December 2025 release.

* Wells Fargo’s 10-person party menu includes: Chicken wings, shrimp, frozen pizza, tortilla chips, salsa and cheese dip, avocados, potato chips, onion flavor dip, prepared carrots, celery, cherry tomatoes, red bell peppers, broccoli, cauliflower, beer and wine.

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