U.S. Economic Outlook

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Monthly Economic Outlook

Economists Michael Pugliese and Sarah House discuss the economic outlook.

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Read our commentary and view forecast tables on U.S. economic conditions, including projections for the financial markets.

July

Receding inflation and a softening labor market should lead to Fed easing – 07/12/2024

June

Back on the road to 2% – 06/14/2024

May

Softer growth, cooler inflation and rate cuts remain on the horizon – 05/08/2024

April

Waiting on the world to change – 04/11/2024

March

The self-defeating prophecy of lower rates – 03/14/2024

February

Strong growth out the gate – 02/08/2024

January

The facts have compelled us to change our U.S. economic outlook – 01/12/2024