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Turnout and Trade

Wells Fargo Investment Institute - August 28, 2018

Key takeaways

  • Republicans face headwinds in retaining majorities in the House and Senate. While the House could be subject to flipping, the Senate appears likely to stay in Republican hands at this time. Voter enthusiasm on key issues likely will be a determining factor in turnout. 
  • A change in congressional partisan leadership this November could lead to initial uncertainty, increasing market volatility until policy direction settles. Abrupt changes in policy direction, such as a repeal of tax reform resulting from Democrats taking full control of Congress, likely would be viewed negatively by market participants.

Download the report (PDF)