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Canada or China - Who Blinks First

Key takeaways
  • As the United States’ top export markets, Canada and Mexico are key for future U.S. economic growth. An expiration of NAFTA likely would be negative for U.S. equities and economic growth.
  • Implementation of the new round of tariffs on China would be likely to increase prices, as U.S. firms pass on the higher cost of imported goods directly to consumers. Markets have largely shrugged off the effects to this point, but the tariffs do have the potential to slow consumer purchases, negatively affecting U.S. equities and growth.
Download the report (PDF)