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Investing in Bitcoin

Wells Fargo Investment Institute - October 2021
Understanding Cryptocurrency

by Maya Ortiz de Montellano, CFA, Senior Investment Analyst

Key takeaways

  • The digital asset ecosystem has taken several quantum leaps forward since the creation of bitcoin in 2009, and cryptocurrency is now widely considered a viable investable asset. Novel utilities associated with the technology have been discovered, the global cryptocurrency market capitalization has skyrocketed, and there have been marked changes in the quality of digital asset offerings and institutional participation.
  • This topical report endeavors to first discuss the essential factors that investors should contemplate while seeking exposure to cryptocurrencies. It will then explore the various entities through which institutional investors may gain access to digital assets, while also highlighting the primary differentiators and drawbacks of each method.
  • Without an exchange-traded fund (ETF) approved by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), investors seeking exposure to digital assets may either make a direct purchase through a crypto exchange or gain indirect access via mutual fund derivatives, a grantor trust, or a private placement fund.

Principal criteria for investment

In weighing whether to make an investment in bitcoin directly, or through a registered fund that uses derivatives such as futures, a grantor trust, or a private placement vehicle, investors should keep a few considerations top of mind:

  • Ability to closely track the price of the underlying asset
  • Impact of premium / discount on investment outcome
  • Protection against hacking/cyber-theft
  • Fees and operating expenses
  • Liquidity

Digital asset investment offerings

This segment of the report aims to analyze the various institutional cryptocurrency products mentioned above, with an emphasis on the first four principal criteria for investment. Liquidity, the fifth key component when evaluating such vehicles, will then be compared across the different methods in the following section.

Direct exposure

Coinbase’s direct listing in April represented the first time a digital exchange went public in the U.S. Its market capitalization, which currently exceeds $59 billion (as of 9/30/2021), underscores the disruptive potential of such platforms and illustrates investor appetite for the space. Investing directly in bitcoin through cryptocurrency exchanges provides investors with the purest form of ownership among the aforementioned mechanisms.

However, it also introduces numerous potential risks. Such exchanges have proven vulnerable to hacking and cyber-theft. For instance, between 2011 and 2014, 650,000 bitcoins were stolen from Mt. Gox, a Japanese cryptocurrency exchange that was then the largest in the world. More recently, hackers were able to withdraw over 7,000 bitcoins from Binance, currently the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange. Such attacks highlight the importance of cold storage, discussed later in the report, and the susceptibility of digital exchanges to breaches.

Even when digital exchanges successfully evade hacks, investors can lose access to their cryptocurrencies if they do not properly store or remember the public and private keys associated with their wallet. Given the decentralized nature of the platforms and their cryptographic security features, password recovery infrastructure is often infeasible. According to The New York Times, around 20% of the existing bitcoin supply appears to be lost or otherwise stranded in wallets. Further exacerbating this risk, many platforms either have very limited or entirely nonexistent customer service capabilities -- delaying responses in the event of crises. For example, the Federal Trade Commission and Consumer Financial Protection Bureau have received 11,000 customer complaints against Coinbase since 2016, the majority of which relate to customer service.

Finally, these platforms have substantial frictional costs associated with transactions and transfer of assets.

Indirect exposure

Mutual funds, grantor trusts, and private placement funds are all vehicles through which investors can indirectly access the digital asset sphere. While certain attributes differ meaningfully across the approaches, a few commonalities also exist. Notably, each structure appears to solve most of the issues surrounding accessibility that are present in digital wallets - individual investors do not need to manage public and private keys. Additionally, the mechanisms are familiar to most investors, don’t require the creation of an additional wallet, and tend to have more extensive customer service capabilities. These factors have the potential to mitigate many of the initial fears individuals have when considering an allocation to this brand-new asset class.

Mutual Funds 
 
Mutual funds use futures, which are cash settled, in an attempt to replicate the price action of cryptocurrencies. More specifically, these funds typically invest in front-end futures contracts. The vehicles then begin the roll process, whereby they exchange a purchased expiring contract for a new longer-dated contract. Thus, such offerings do not own the underlying asset itself -- in this case Bitcoin. However, this approach can be inefficient from taxation and transaction cost standpoints. Additionally, these funds often have tracking error (the extent to which a Fund’s returns differ from the Index), and do not precisely mirror the price of Bitcoin. The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has expressed caution around these new funds, as there are outstanding questions about the depth and breadth of the Bitcoin (BTC) futures market, and its ability to accommodate daily liquidity requirements of registered mutual funds, or ETFs. Finally, the volatility in the price of Bitcoin referenced by the futures contracts may introduce further imprecision.

Grantor Trust 
 
The first stop for many investors who want to buy digital assets such as Bitcoin is to invest in a grantor trust, which is a structure commonly used to hold single commodities (ex. Gold, Silver). Grantor trusts for cryptocurrency assets generally trade in the over-the-counter (OTC) market, and are a flow through structure like a limited partnership for tax purposes. Additionally, grantor trusts are typically IRA eligible. These structures provide exposure to single commodities and are not registered under the Investment Company Act. A grantor trust net asset value (NAV) for Bitcoin may at times trade at a premium or discount to the underlying asset for substantial periods of time. For example, the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) reached a premium of 122.3% on June, 2017, and a low of -17.9% in May, 2021. While a premium or discount could conceivably be beneficial, if timed perfectly, the reality is that it most likely makes buying a highly volatile asset like Bitcoin risker. Finally, the fees associated with such vehicles have the potential to be prohibitive for many investors.
 
Private Placement 
 
Unlike mutual funds and grantor trusts, a private placement for bitcoin offers qualified investors the opportunity to transact at a net asset value (NAV) of a fund that directly corresponds to the price of bitcoin at a specific point in time (for example, 4 p.m. ET). Keeping in mind that digital assets actually trade 24 hours, 7 days a week, transacting at NAV still permits a strategy such as dollar cost averaging to better reflect the true economic performance of the underlying asset. The traceability and accuracy associated with this type of fund served as key differentiators during the vetting process of the cryptocurrency ecosystem.
Regarding security, the highest level of protection against hacking for the time being is referred to as cold storage. This means the encrypted private key data that permits transacting in bitcoin (or any digital asset) is stored on a hardware module which is never connected to a routable network. The most secure cold storage facilities are redundant, geographically dispersed with physical barriers to entry, electronic surveillance, and patrols. The private placement selected by Global Manager Research meets this standard.
 

Liquidity…it depends.

If the definition of a liquid asset is that it can easily be converted into cash within a short period of time, Global Manager Research would suggest that Bitcoin falls in the relatively liquid category. Transactions in Bitcoin through digital exchanges can be executed in a market that trades constantly, while mutual funds are open-ended vehicles. However, exchange markets remain fragmented and can hinder accurate price discovery. Additionally, there are concerns about the depth and reliability of BTC futures, the products used by mutual funds. Next, indirect investments in cryptocurrency through grantor trusts and private placement funds typically have restrictions surrounding redemptions and subscriptions. Ultimately, the more liquid markets may come at the cost of substandard price accuracy and transparency. Conversely, private placements funds face liquidity restrictions that prevent seamlessly trading in and out of the underlying assets.

Rapidly Evolving Landscape 

Looking to the future, Global Manager Research expects that cryptocurrency assets will no longer be the domain of technologists, with the number of investment offerings growing, including passive and actively managed options. The floodgate for this will likely require further development of a regulatory framework coming from U.S. regulators, and further cooperation across industry participants. With that view, a Bitcoin ETF is inevitable, in our opinion, but timing is highly uncertain. Absent any changes in current Internal Revenue Service (IRS) tax guidance, we expect to eventually see a pathway to transition interests from a private placement fund into an ETF in a taxefficient manner.

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